Market-implied odds place 21–22°C as near-even favorites for Amsterdam’s August 30 high because short-range ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI/HARMONIE converge on a mild southwesterly flow advecting Atlantic air with daytime maxima near the 1991–2020 average of 21.1°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and 15–20 km/h winds are expected to limit surface heating and cap the peak, while modest model spread on exact timing of breaks in the cloud produces the tight 47.5 % / 42 % split. Later ECMWF and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
22°C 48%
21°C 42%
20°C 9%
23°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
9%
21°C
42%
22°C
48%
23°C
9%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 48%
21°C 42%
20°C 9%
23°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$11 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
21°C
$31 ปริมาณ
42%
22°C
$173 ปริมาณ
48%
23°C
$32 ปริมาณ
9%
24°C
$15 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C or higher
$11 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place 21–22°C as near-even favorites for Amsterdam’s August 30 high because short-range ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI/HARMONIE converge on a mild southwesterly flow advecting Atlantic air with daytime maxima near the 1991–2020 average of 21.1°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and 15–20 km/h winds are expected to limit surface heating and cap the peak, while modest model spread on exact timing of breaks in the cloud produces the tight 47.5 % / 42 % split. Later ECMWF and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place 21–22°C as near-even favorites for Amsterdam’s August 30 high because short-range ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI/HARMONIE converge on a mild southwesterly flow advecting Atlantic air with daytime maxima near the 1991–2020 average of 21.1°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and 15–20 km/h winds are expected to limit surface heating and cap the peak, while modest model spread on exact timing of breaks in the cloud produces the tight 47.5 % / 42 % split. Later ECMWF and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds place 21–22°C as near-even favorites for Amsterdam’s August 30 high because short-range ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI/HARMONIE converge on a mild southwesterly flow advecting Atlantic air with daytime maxima near the 1991–2020 average of 21.1°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and 15–20 km/h winds are expected to limit surface heating and cap the peak, while modest model spread on exact timing of breaks in the cloud produces the tight 47.5 % / 42 % split. Later ECMWF and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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