Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 29 indicate widespread cloud cover and rain or showers developing through the day, driven by a southwesterly flow and associated low-pressure influences, which limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating. Official guidance projects a maximum of 22°C under these conditions, consistent with historical analogs for unsettled late-summer patterns where precipitation reduces highs by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with minimal spread toward warmer outcomes given the persistent moisture. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 20–21°C because updated guidance has trended cooler than earlier outlooks, while the low odds on 22°C+ reflect the slim chance of any clearing or delayed rainfall. Further Met Office updates ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 29?
21°C 47%
20°C 31%
19°C 12%
22°C 10%
$21,013 ปริมาณ
$21,013 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
12%
20°C
31%
21°C
47%
22°C
10%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 47%
20°C 31%
19°C 12%
22°C 10%
$21,013 ปริมาณ
$21,013 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
12%
20°C
31%
21°C
47%
22°C
10%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 29 indicate widespread cloud cover and rain or showers developing through the day, driven by a southwesterly flow and associated low-pressure influences, which limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating. Official guidance projects a maximum of 22°C under these conditions, consistent with historical analogs for unsettled late-summer patterns where precipitation reduces highs by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with minimal spread toward warmer outcomes given the persistent moisture. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 20–21°C because updated guidance has trended cooler than earlier outlooks, while the low odds on 22°C+ reflect the slim chance of any clearing or delayed rainfall. Further Met Office updates ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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