A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is sustaining elevated temperatures across São Paulo into late August, with official guidance from INMET and regional models highlighting subsidence, low humidity, and light variable winds that favor strong daytime heating on August 30. Current short-range forecasts show daytime maxima clustered between 31–35 °C depending on the exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or weak instability, creating genuine spread among numerical guidance and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32 °C. Traders are weighting the consensus from recent high-resolution runs while discounting lower outliers tied to greater cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature from INMET or accredited stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
30°C 21%
31°C 20%
32°C 18%
33°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
21%
31°C
20%
32°C
18%
33°C
12%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 21%
31°C 20%
32°C 18%
33°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$413 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$76 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$430 ปริมาณ
21%
31°C
$172 ปริมาณ
20%
32°C
$420 ปริมาณ
18%
33°C
$45 ปริมาณ
12%
34°C
$284 ปริมาณ
12%
35°C
$18 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$72 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$125 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is sustaining elevated temperatures across São Paulo into late August, with official guidance from INMET and regional models highlighting subsidence, low humidity, and light variable winds that favor strong daytime heating on August 30. Current short-range forecasts show daytime maxima clustered between 31–35 °C depending on the exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or weak instability, creating genuine spread among numerical guidance and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32 °C. Traders are weighting the consensus from recent high-resolution runs while discounting lower outliers tied to greater cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature from INMET or accredited stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,066วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is sustaining elevated temperatures across São Paulo into late August, with official guidance from INMET and regional models highlighting subsidence, low humidity, and light variable winds that favor strong daytime heating on August 30. Current short-range forecasts show daytime maxima clustered between 31–35 °C depending on the exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or weak instability, creating genuine spread among numerical guidance and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32 °C. Traders are weighting the consensus from recent high-resolution runs while discounting lower outliers tied to greater cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature from INMET or accredited stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,066วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is sustaining elevated temperatures across São Paulo into late August, with official guidance from INMET and regional models highlighting subsidence, low humidity, and light variable winds that favor strong daytime heating on August 30. Current short-range forecasts show daytime maxima clustered between 31–35 °C depending on the exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or weak instability, creating genuine spread among numerical guidance and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32 °C. Traders are weighting the consensus from recent high-resolution runs while discounting lower outliers tied to greater cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature from INMET or accredited stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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