Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models positions Austin for a sunny, hot day on August 30 with highs centered in the upper 90s to near 100°F under a persistent heat dome, light southerly winds, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 59% implied probability and supports the secondary 100-101°F range, as recent observations show daily maxima of 99-102°F amid above-normal late-summer warmth. Historical August averages near 95°F provide context for the elevated readings, while model agreement and lack of incoming fronts limit upside risk beyond 101°F. Updated NWS briefings and next-day observations will refine resolution near the 100°F threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 21%
96-97°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
59%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 21%
96-97°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$218 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
94-95°F
$21 ปริมาณ
4%
96-97°F
$394 ปริมาณ
13%
98-99°F
$4,353 ปริมาณ
59%
100-101°F
$755 ปริมาณ
21%
102-103°F
$320 ปริมาณ
2%
104-105°F
$160 ปริมาณ
1%
106-107°F
$54 ปริมาณ
<1%
108°F or higher
$69 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models positions Austin for a sunny, hot day on August 30 with highs centered in the upper 90s to near 100°F under a persistent heat dome, light southerly winds, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 59% implied probability and supports the secondary 100-101°F range, as recent observations show daily maxima of 99-102°F amid above-normal late-summer warmth. Historical August averages near 95°F provide context for the elevated readings, while model agreement and lack of incoming fronts limit upside risk beyond 101°F. Updated NWS briefings and next-day observations will refine resolution near the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,619วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models positions Austin for a sunny, hot day on August 30 with highs centered in the upper 90s to near 100°F under a persistent heat dome, light southerly winds, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 59% implied probability and supports the secondary 100-101°F range, as recent observations show daily maxima of 99-102°F amid above-normal late-summer warmth. Historical August averages near 95°F provide context for the elevated readings, while model agreement and lack of incoming fronts limit upside risk beyond 101°F. Updated NWS briefings and next-day observations will refine resolution near the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,619วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models positions Austin for a sunny, hot day on August 30 with highs centered in the upper 90s to near 100°F under a persistent heat dome, light southerly winds, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 59% implied probability and supports the secondary 100-101°F range, as recent observations show daily maxima of 99-102°F amid above-normal late-summer warmth. Historical August averages near 95°F provide context for the elevated readings, while model agreement and lack of incoming fronts limit upside risk beyond 101°F. Updated NWS briefings and next-day observations will refine resolution near the 100°F threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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