Recent Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international model guidance indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C on August 30, driven by persistent southeast monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Current conditions show surface dew points near 26–27°C and relative humidity above 80%, which suppress maximum temperatures relative to clearer late-summer baselines. Ensemble forecasts exhibit tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 31°C outcomes, while lower-probability higher readings would require unexpected clearing not supported by the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
32°C 56%
31°C 34%
33°C 5%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
34%
32°C
56%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 34%
33°C 5%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$241 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$199 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$299 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$1,387 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$1,784 ปริมาณ
34%
32°C
$1,570 ปริมาณ
56%
33°C
$1,393 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$714 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$127 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$233 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international model guidance indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C on August 30, driven by persistent southeast monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Current conditions show surface dew points near 26–27°C and relative humidity above 80%, which suppress maximum temperatures relative to clearer late-summer baselines. Ensemble forecasts exhibit tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 31°C outcomes, while lower-probability higher readings would require unexpected clearing not supported by the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,980วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international model guidance indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C on August 30, driven by persistent southeast monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Current conditions show surface dew points near 26–27°C and relative humidity above 80%, which suppress maximum temperatures relative to clearer late-summer baselines. Ensemble forecasts exhibit tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 31°C outcomes, while lower-probability higher readings would require unexpected clearing not supported by the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,980วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international model guidance indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C on August 30, driven by persistent southeast monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Current conditions show surface dew points near 26–27°C and relative humidity above 80%, which suppress maximum temperatures relative to clearer late-summer baselines. Ensemble forecasts exhibit tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 31°C outcomes, while lower-probability higher readings would require unexpected clearing not supported by the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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