Recent forecasts for Toronto on August 30 show model divergence, with Environment Canada projecting a 27°C high under cloudy skies and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, while other guidance indicates cooler outcomes near 22–24°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation. This uncertainty centers on the strength of southwest flow and associated moisture, which limits insolation and daytime heating through increased cloud optical depth and evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weight the cooler scenarios more heavily, as implied by the 33% odds on 23°C and 28% on 24°C, reflecting typical late-August climatology near 24°C and the risk that showers arrive earlier or more intensely than currently modeled. Updated runs from major ensembles will likely refine the maximum temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
21%
23°C
33%
24°C
28%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$69 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$459 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$629 ปริมาณ
7%
22°C
$538 ปริมาณ
21%
23°C
$803 ปริมาณ
33%
24°C
$655 ปริมาณ
28%
25°C
$481 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$322 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C or higher
$200 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Toronto on August 30 show model divergence, with Environment Canada projecting a 27°C high under cloudy skies and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, while other guidance indicates cooler outcomes near 22–24°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation. This uncertainty centers on the strength of southwest flow and associated moisture, which limits insolation and daytime heating through increased cloud optical depth and evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weight the cooler scenarios more heavily, as implied by the 33% odds on 23°C and 28% on 24°C, reflecting typical late-August climatology near 24°C and the risk that showers arrive earlier or more intensely than currently modeled. Updated runs from major ensembles will likely refine the maximum temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,576วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Toronto on August 30 show model divergence, with Environment Canada projecting a 27°C high under cloudy skies and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, while other guidance indicates cooler outcomes near 22–24°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation. This uncertainty centers on the strength of southwest flow and associated moisture, which limits insolation and daytime heating through increased cloud optical depth and evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weight the cooler scenarios more heavily, as implied by the 33% odds on 23°C and 28% on 24°C, reflecting typical late-August climatology near 24°C and the risk that showers arrive earlier or more intensely than currently modeled. Updated runs from major ensembles will likely refine the maximum temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,576วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Toronto on August 30 show model divergence, with Environment Canada projecting a 27°C high under cloudy skies and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, while other guidance indicates cooler outcomes near 22–24°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation. This uncertainty centers on the strength of southwest flow and associated moisture, which limits insolation and daytime heating through increased cloud optical depth and evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weight the cooler scenarios more heavily, as implied by the 33% odds on 23°C and 28% on 24°C, reflecting typical late-August climatology near 24°C and the risk that showers arrive earlier or more intensely than currently modeled. Updated runs from major ensembles will likely refine the maximum temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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