Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a deepening marine layer and onshore flow driven by an upper-level trough off the Pacific Northwest, keeping San Francisco temperatures 5–15°F below seasonal norms for late August. This setup favors overnight lows in the upper 50s as persistent stratus and southwest winds (10–20 mph) limit radiative cooling while advecting cool Pacific air. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model consensus on exact minimums varies with the timing of any late-night clearing or boundary-layer mixing. Trader focus on the 54–59°F range reflects these subtle differences in marine-layer thickness and wind patterns expected through the August 31 overnight period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
52-53°F 49%
60-61°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
41%
48-49°F
13%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66°F or higher
49%
52-53°F 49%
60-61°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
48-49°F
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
50-51°F
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
52-53°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
54-55°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
56-57°F
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
66°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a deepening marine layer and onshore flow driven by an upper-level trough off the Pacific Northwest, keeping San Francisco temperatures 5–15°F below seasonal norms for late August. This setup favors overnight lows in the upper 50s as persistent stratus and southwest winds (10–20 mph) limit radiative cooling while advecting cool Pacific air. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model consensus on exact minimums varies with the timing of any late-night clearing or boundary-layer mixing. Trader focus on the 54–59°F range reflects these subtle differences in marine-layer thickness and wind patterns expected through the August 31 overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a deepening marine layer and onshore flow driven by an upper-level trough off the Pacific Northwest, keeping San Francisco temperatures 5–15°F below seasonal norms for late August. This setup favors overnight lows in the upper 50s as persistent stratus and southwest winds (10–20 mph) limit radiative cooling while advecting cool Pacific air. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model consensus on exact minimums varies with the timing of any late-night clearing or boundary-layer mixing. Trader focus on the 54–59°F range reflects these subtle differences in marine-layer thickness and wind patterns expected through the August 31 overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a deepening marine layer and onshore flow driven by an upper-level trough off the Pacific Northwest, keeping San Francisco temperatures 5–15°F below seasonal norms for late August. This setup favors overnight lows in the upper 50s as persistent stratus and southwest winds (10–20 mph) limit radiative cooling while advecting cool Pacific air. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model consensus on exact minimums varies with the timing of any late-night clearing or boundary-layer mixing. Trader focus on the 54–59°F range reflects these subtle differences in marine-layer thickness and wind patterns expected through the August 31 overnight period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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