Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight lows in Mexico City on August 30 around 11–13°C, consistent with the rainy season average of 12°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms and moderate humidity limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise raise minimums. The market's elevated probability on 6°C or below alongside clustered odds near 11–16°C reflects trader awareness of forecast spread in precipitation timing and clearing skies, which can shift minima by 2–4°C. Historical data show August lows rarely dip below 10°C without unusual dry, calm conditions, supporting the current consensus around typical values while leaving room for model revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
6°C or below 60%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
60%
7°C
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
23%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C or higher
24%
6°C or below 60%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$17 ปริมาณ
60%
7°C
$69 ปริมาณ
2%
8°C
$16 ปริมาณ
2%
9°C
$6 ปริมาณ
5%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
16°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight lows in Mexico City on August 30 around 11–13°C, consistent with the rainy season average of 12°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms and moderate humidity limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise raise minimums. The market's elevated probability on 6°C or below alongside clustered odds near 11–16°C reflects trader awareness of forecast spread in precipitation timing and clearing skies, which can shift minima by 2–4°C. Historical data show August lows rarely dip below 10°C without unusual dry, calm conditions, supporting the current consensus around typical values while leaving room for model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight lows in Mexico City on August 30 around 11–13°C, consistent with the rainy season average of 12°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms and moderate humidity limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise raise minimums. The market's elevated probability on 6°C or below alongside clustered odds near 11–16°C reflects trader awareness of forecast spread in precipitation timing and clearing skies, which can shift minima by 2–4°C. Historical data show August lows rarely dip below 10°C without unusual dry, calm conditions, supporting the current consensus around typical values while leaving room for model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight lows in Mexico City on August 30 around 11–13°C, consistent with the rainy season average of 12°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms and moderate humidity limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise raise minimums. The market's elevated probability on 6°C or below alongside clustered odds near 11–16°C reflects trader awareness of forecast spread in precipitation timing and clearing skies, which can shift minima by 2–4°C. Historical data show August lows rarely dip below 10°C without unusual dry, calm conditions, supporting the current consensus around typical values while leaving room for model revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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