Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Seattle recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56–57°F on August 28, 2026, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 95% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where moderating marine air and typical diurnal cooling patterns produce lows in the mid-50s under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on this range in the preceding days, with minimal spread among guidance ensembles. Only an unverified station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare given standardized instrumentation and quality controls.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seattle on August 28?
56-57°F 95%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$35,393 ปริมาณ
$35,393 ปริมาณ
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
56-57°F 95%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$35,393 ปริมาณ
$35,393 ปริมาณ
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Seattle recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56–57°F on August 28, 2026, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 95% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where moderating marine air and typical diurnal cooling patterns produce lows in the mid-50s under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on this range in the preceding days, with minimal spread among guidance ensembles. Only an unverified station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare given standardized instrumentation and quality controls.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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