Official National Weather Service and private forecasts for Denver on August 30 project a daily high near 88°F under partly sunny skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 86-89°F bins. Late-summer climatology supports this range, as the seasonal average high sits near 85°F while downslope warming and surface heating compete with increasing cloud cover and convective cooling. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with steering winds and moisture profiles limiting intensification beyond the mid-to-upper 80s. Traders appear to weigh the risk of brief thunderstorm outflows capping peaks against the baseline potential for clearer conditions to push readings into the upper 80s before resolution later today.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on August 30?
86-87°F 49%
88-89°F 25%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 6%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
49%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 49%
88-89°F 25%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 6%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
49%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and private forecasts for Denver on August 30 project a daily high near 88°F under partly sunny skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 86-89°F bins. Late-summer climatology supports this range, as the seasonal average high sits near 85°F while downslope warming and surface heating compete with increasing cloud cover and convective cooling. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with steering winds and moisture profiles limiting intensification beyond the mid-to-upper 80s. Traders appear to weigh the risk of brief thunderstorm outflows capping peaks against the baseline potential for clearer conditions to push readings into the upper 80s before resolution later today.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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