Persistent southerly flow and high pressure under the current pattern have kept Austin overnight lows in the mid-70s through late August, with National Weather Service guidance showing a 76–77°F low expected for September 1 amid highs near 100°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but runs several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71°F due to the absence of a frontal passage. Ensemble forecast spreads and potential for minor variations in cloud cover or dew points create genuine uncertainty across the 68–85°F range, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for the listed bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Austin on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 1?
67°F or below 59%
86°F or higher 59%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
67°F or below
59%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
43%
86°F or higher
59%
67°F or below 59%
86°F or higher 59%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
67°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
59%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
86°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and high pressure under the current pattern have kept Austin overnight lows in the mid-70s through late August, with National Weather Service guidance showing a 76–77°F low expected for September 1 amid highs near 100°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but runs several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71°F due to the absence of a frontal passage. Ensemble forecast spreads and potential for minor variations in cloud cover or dew points create genuine uncertainty across the 68–85°F range, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for the listed bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and high pressure under the current pattern have kept Austin overnight lows in the mid-70s through late August, with National Weather Service guidance showing a 76–77°F low expected for September 1 amid highs near 100°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but runs several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71°F due to the absence of a frontal passage. Ensemble forecast spreads and potential for minor variations in cloud cover or dew points create genuine uncertainty across the 68–85°F range, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for the listed bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and high pressure under the current pattern have kept Austin overnight lows in the mid-70s through late August, with National Weather Service guidance showing a 76–77°F low expected for September 1 amid highs near 100°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but runs several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71°F due to the absence of a frontal passage. Ensemble forecast spreads and potential for minor variations in cloud cover or dew points create genuine uncertainty across the 68–85°F range, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for the listed bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย