**Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from recent rain are keeping daytime heating modest in Tokyo, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 27–28°C for August 30.** Multiple numerical weather models and agency guidance (including hourly outputs showing afternoon peaks near 27–28°C under mostly cloudy skies) converge on this range, with only modest clearing expected during peak heating hours. Light northerly flow and high humidity (often 70–90%) further suppress temperature rises, while isolated light showers or drizzle (15–30% probability) add evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured unseasonably cool, rainy conditions (highs near 24–26°C on the 29th), maintaining a stable, moist boundary layer that limits the typical late-August climb toward 30–31°C. The near-even market split between 27°C and 28°C reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty window, with small differences in cloud timing or wind shifts able to tip the daily maximum by a degree. Newer model runs or satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 12–24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
28°C 34%
27°C 32%
29°C 14%
26°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27°C
32%
28°C
34%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 34%
27°C 32%
29°C 14%
26°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$777 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$316 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$500 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$1,228 ปริมาณ
10%
27°C
$1,154 ปริมาณ
32%
28°C
$1,858 ปริมาณ
34%
29°C
$1,625 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$454 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$290 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$761 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$426 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from recent rain are keeping daytime heating modest in Tokyo, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 27–28°C for August 30.**
Multiple numerical weather models and agency guidance (including hourly outputs showing afternoon peaks near 27–28°C under mostly cloudy skies) converge on this range, with only modest clearing expected during peak heating hours. Light northerly flow and high humidity (often 70–90%) further suppress temperature rises, while isolated light showers or drizzle (15–30% probability) add evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured unseasonably cool, rainy conditions (highs near 24–26°C on the 29th), maintaining a stable, moist boundary layer that limits the typical late-August climb toward 30–31°C.
The near-even market split between 27°C and 28°C reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty window, with small differences in cloud timing or wind shifts able to tip the daily maximum by a degree. Newer model runs or satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 12–24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,389วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from recent rain are keeping daytime heating modest in Tokyo, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 27–28°C for August 30.**
Multiple numerical weather models and agency guidance (including hourly outputs showing afternoon peaks near 27–28°C under mostly cloudy skies) converge on this range, with only modest clearing expected during peak heating hours. Light northerly flow and high humidity (often 70–90%) further suppress temperature rises, while isolated light showers or drizzle (15–30% probability) add evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured unseasonably cool, rainy conditions (highs near 24–26°C on the 29th), maintaining a stable, moist boundary layer that limits the typical late-August climb toward 30–31°C.
The near-even market split between 27°C and 28°C reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty window, with small differences in cloud timing or wind shifts able to tip the daily maximum by a degree. Newer model runs or satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 12–24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,389วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and residual moisture from recent rain are keeping daytime heating modest in Tokyo, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 27–28°C for August 30.** Multiple numerical weather models and agency guidance (including hourly outputs showing afternoon peaks near 27–28°C under mostly cloudy skies) converge on this range, with only modest clearing expected during peak heating hours. Light northerly flow and high humidity (often 70–90%) further suppress temperature rises, while isolated light showers or drizzle (15–30% probability) add evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured unseasonably cool, rainy conditions (highs near 24–26°C on the 29th), maintaining a stable, moist boundary layer that limits the typical late-August climb toward 30–31°C. The near-even market split between 27°C and 28°C reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty window, with small differences in cloud timing or wind shifts able to tip the daily maximum by a degree. Newer model runs or satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 12–24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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