Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and JMA models point to persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers suppressing radiative cooling overnight into August 29, anchoring the minimum near 22–23 °C. High humidity and light precipitation maintain a narrow diurnal range, with consensus lows clustered in this band rather than the seasonal average of 23 °C. Trader positioning reflects this tight model agreement, with minor variance arising from exact timing of any heavier rain bands or wind shifts that could alter the overnight minimum by 1 °C. Updated model runs and official Tokyo observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
22°C 43%
23°C 38%
21°C 12%
24°C 7%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
43%
23°C
38%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 43%
23°C 38%
21°C 12%
24°C 7%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
43%
23°C
38%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and JMA models point to persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers suppressing radiative cooling overnight into August 29, anchoring the minimum near 22–23 °C. High humidity and light precipitation maintain a narrow diurnal range, with consensus lows clustered in this band rather than the seasonal average of 23 °C. Trader positioning reflects this tight model agreement, with minor variance arising from exact timing of any heavier rain bands or wind shifts that could alter the overnight minimum by 1 °C. Updated model runs and official Tokyo observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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