NHC forecasts project Tropical Storm Lowell, currently at 40-45 kt with a sheared structure over the eastern Pacific near 12.8°N 135.7°W, will intensify as easterly wind shear decreases after the weekend. Warm sea-surface temperatures and reduced dry-air intrusion support gradual strengthening, with the latest guidance showing maximum sustained winds reaching 65-75 kt (hurricane threshold on the Saffir-Simpson scale) by Monday or Monday night as the system tracks westward into the central Pacific. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this model agreement and official outlook. The primary remaining uncertainty involves potential interaction with nearby Tropical Storm Karina, where a slower track could increase shear and limit intensification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?
Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?
93% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
93% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Lowell reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".NHC forecasts project Tropical Storm Lowell, currently at 40-45 kt with a sheared structure over the eastern Pacific near 12.8°N 135.7°W, will intensify as easterly wind shear decreases after the weekend. Warm sea-surface temperatures and reduced dry-air intrusion support gradual strengthening, with the latest guidance showing maximum sustained winds reaching 65-75 kt (hurricane threshold on the Saffir-Simpson scale) by Monday or Monday night as the system tracks westward into the central Pacific. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this model agreement and official outlook. The primary remaining uncertainty involves potential interaction with nearby Tropical Storm Karina, where a slower track could increase shear and limit intensification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Lowell reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,245วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Lowell reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".NHC forecasts project Tropical Storm Lowell, currently at 40-45 kt with a sheared structure over the eastern Pacific near 12.8°N 135.7°W, will intensify as easterly wind shear decreases after the weekend. Warm sea-surface temperatures and reduced dry-air intrusion support gradual strengthening, with the latest guidance showing maximum sustained winds reaching 65-75 kt (hurricane threshold on the Saffir-Simpson scale) by Monday or Monday night as the system tracks westward into the central Pacific. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this model agreement and official outlook. The primary remaining uncertainty involves potential interaction with nearby Tropical Storm Karina, where a slower track could increase shear and limit intensification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Lowell reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,245วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...NHC forecasts project Tropical Storm Lowell, currently at 40-45 kt with a sheared structure over the eastern Pacific near 12.8°N 135.7°W, will intensify as easterly wind shear decreases after the weekend. Warm sea-surface temperatures and reduced dry-air intrusion support gradual strengthening, with the latest guidance showing maximum sustained winds reaching 65-75 kt (hurricane threshold on the Saffir-Simpson scale) by Monday or Monday night as the system tracks westward into the central Pacific. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this model agreement and official outlook. The primary remaining uncertainty involves potential interaction with nearby Tropical Storm Karina, where a slower track could increase shear and limit intensification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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