Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a nearby low-pressure area, is the primary driver keeping Manila's August 29 maximum temperatures suppressed near 27–29 °C. Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms limit solar heating while high humidity and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further reduce diurnal warming, producing forecast highs of 26–29 °C across PAGASA, ECMWF, and GFS guidance. The near-even market odds on 28 °C and 29 °C reflect uncertainty over exact thunderstorm timing and intensity on the day, with any break in rain potentially allowing brief warming toward 29 °C. Historical August baselines around 30–31 °C underscore how the current monsoon surge has shifted probabilities downward.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 29?
28°C 34%
29°C 28%
27°C 15%
30°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
8%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
28%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
4%
28°C 34%
29°C 28%
27°C 15%
30°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$2 ปริมาณ
10%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
31°C
$40 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$228 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a nearby low-pressure area, is the primary driver keeping Manila's August 29 maximum temperatures suppressed near 27–29 °C. Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms limit solar heating while high humidity and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further reduce diurnal warming, producing forecast highs of 26–29 °C across PAGASA, ECMWF, and GFS guidance. The near-even market odds on 28 °C and 29 °C reflect uncertainty over exact thunderstorm timing and intensity on the day, with any break in rain potentially allowing brief warming toward 29 °C. Historical August baselines around 30–31 °C underscore how the current monsoon surge has shifted probabilities downward.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$370วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a nearby low-pressure area, is the primary driver keeping Manila's August 29 maximum temperatures suppressed near 27–29 °C. Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms limit solar heating while high humidity and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further reduce diurnal warming, producing forecast highs of 26–29 °C across PAGASA, ECMWF, and GFS guidance. The near-even market odds on 28 °C and 29 °C reflect uncertainty over exact thunderstorm timing and intensity on the day, with any break in rain potentially allowing brief warming toward 29 °C. Historical August baselines around 30–31 °C underscore how the current monsoon surge has shifted probabilities downward.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$370วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a nearby low-pressure area, is the primary driver keeping Manila's August 29 maximum temperatures suppressed near 27–29 °C. Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms limit solar heating while high humidity and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further reduce diurnal warming, producing forecast highs of 26–29 °C across PAGASA, ECMWF, and GFS guidance. The near-even market odds on 28 °C and 29 °C reflect uncertainty over exact thunderstorm timing and intensity on the day, with any break in rain potentially allowing brief warming toward 29 °C. Historical August baselines around 30–31 °C underscore how the current monsoon surge has shifted probabilities downward.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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