Current forecast models for Wellington show maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 13–14°C for August 27, with the slight edge to 14°C reflecting minor differences in how regional models handle the timing of a weak frontal passage and associated wind shift. In winter, Wellington’s temperatures are strongly modulated by southerly airflow, cloud cover, and the strength of the gradient wind; clearer skies or a brief northerly influence can add 1°C, while increased mixing or showers can suppress the daily high. Ensemble guidance from global and local models displays low spread at this short range, yet small timing discrepancies in the frontal boundary keep the two leading outcomes nearly even. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
14°C 45%
13°C 41%
15°C 9%
12°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
41%
14°C
45%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
13°C 41%
15°C 9%
12°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
41%
14°C
45%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Wellington show maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 13–14°C for August 27, with the slight edge to 14°C reflecting minor differences in how regional models handle the timing of a weak frontal passage and associated wind shift. In winter, Wellington’s temperatures are strongly modulated by southerly airflow, cloud cover, and the strength of the gradient wind; clearer skies or a brief northerly influence can add 1°C, while increased mixing or showers can suppress the daily high. Ensemble guidance from global and local models displays low spread at this short range, yet small timing discrepancies in the frontal boundary keep the two leading outcomes nearly even. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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