Latest numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 26 likely between 8–12 °C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and potential light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal exposure and the city’s topography create localized differences in sheltering, while recent August conditions have featured above-average daytime highs near 14–15 °C followed by sharper drops under clearer skies. Ensemble spreads in global and regional forecasts reflect this uncertainty, with trader consensus clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting the narrow range of probable overnight lows from official guidance. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 26th will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
12°C 36%
11°C 27%
13°C 26%
14°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
16%
10°C
13%
11°C
27%
12°C
36%
13°C
26%
14°C
21%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
12°C 36%
11°C 27%
13°C 26%
14°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$55 ปริมาณ
16%
10°C
$10 ปริมาณ
13%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
15°C
$85 ปริมาณ
5%
16°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$15 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C or higher
$145 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 26 likely between 8–12 °C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and potential light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal exposure and the city’s topography create localized differences in sheltering, while recent August conditions have featured above-average daytime highs near 14–15 °C followed by sharper drops under clearer skies. Ensemble spreads in global and regional forecasts reflect this uncertainty, with trader consensus clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting the narrow range of probable overnight lows from official guidance. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 26th will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$330วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 26 likely between 8–12 °C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and potential light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal exposure and the city’s topography create localized differences in sheltering, while recent August conditions have featured above-average daytime highs near 14–15 °C followed by sharper drops under clearer skies. Ensemble spreads in global and regional forecasts reflect this uncertainty, with trader consensus clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting the narrow range of probable overnight lows from official guidance. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 26th will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$330วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 26 likely between 8–12 °C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and potential light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal exposure and the city’s topography create localized differences in sheltering, while recent August conditions have featured above-average daytime highs near 14–15 °C followed by sharper drops under clearer skies. Ensemble spreads in global and regional forecasts reflect this uncertainty, with trader consensus clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting the narrow range of probable overnight lows from official guidance. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 26th will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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