Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson and City Centre, recorded a daily maximum of 22°C on August 28 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly to northwesterly winds. This aligned closely with pre-event forecasts projecting highs of 23–25°C amid typical late-August conditions, where average highs hover near 24–25°C but localized factors like clearer overnight cooling and lighter humidity kept readings from exceeding that threshold. The market's 99.8% implied probability for 22°C reflects the convergence of verified station data and model consensus, with minimal room for variance given the day's stable synoptic pattern. Only a rare station-specific discrepancy or post-hoc data revision could realistically alter resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on August 28?
22°C 99.8%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$37,818 ปริมาณ
$37,818 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$37,818 ปริมาณ
$37,818 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson and City Centre, recorded a daily maximum of 22°C on August 28 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly to northwesterly winds. This aligned closely with pre-event forecasts projecting highs of 23–25°C amid typical late-August conditions, where average highs hover near 24–25°C but localized factors like clearer overnight cooling and lighter humidity kept readings from exceeding that threshold. The market's 99.8% implied probability for 22°C reflects the convergence of verified station data and model consensus, with minimal room for variance given the day's stable synoptic pattern. Only a rare station-specific discrepancy or post-hoc data revision could realistically alter resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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