Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service consensus indicate a high near 84°F for Denver on September 1, 2026, with ranges of 81–87°F reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing. This places the market's leading 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins at the center of trader sentiment, as downslope warming along the Front Range competes with increased moisture and partial cloudiness that could cap peak heating. Recent late-August observations show typical seasonal cooling from mid-summer peaks near 100°F, aligning with historical September 1 averages of 81°F and low precipitation risk. Key variables differentiating outcomes include model spreads on convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing, with new runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on September 1?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 1?
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 31%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92°F or higher
7%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 31%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
78-79°F
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
86-87°F
$3 ปริมาณ
31%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
90-91°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
92°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service consensus indicate a high near 84°F for Denver on September 1, 2026, with ranges of 81–87°F reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing. This places the market's leading 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins at the center of trader sentiment, as downslope warming along the Front Range competes with increased moisture and partial cloudiness that could cap peak heating. Recent late-August observations show typical seasonal cooling from mid-summer peaks near 100°F, aligning with historical September 1 averages of 81°F and low precipitation risk. Key variables differentiating outcomes include model spreads on convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing, with new runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service consensus indicate a high near 84°F for Denver on September 1, 2026, with ranges of 81–87°F reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing. This places the market's leading 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins at the center of trader sentiment, as downslope warming along the Front Range competes with increased moisture and partial cloudiness that could cap peak heating. Recent late-August observations show typical seasonal cooling from mid-summer peaks near 100°F, aligning with historical September 1 averages of 81°F and low precipitation risk. Key variables differentiating outcomes include model spreads on convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing, with new runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service consensus indicate a high near 84°F for Denver on September 1, 2026, with ranges of 81–87°F reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing. This places the market's leading 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins at the center of trader sentiment, as downslope warming along the Front Range competes with increased moisture and partial cloudiness that could cap peak heating. Recent late-August observations show typical seasonal cooling from mid-summer peaks near 100°F, aligning with historical September 1 averages of 81°F and low precipitation risk. Key variables differentiating outcomes include model spreads on convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing, with new runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย