Recent clearing skies and warming after mid-week rains have lifted trader focus on Beijing's August 31 maximum, with forecasts from official agencies centering near 29–30 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northeast winds. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, exact peak solar heating timing, and subtle advection of slightly drier continental air versus residual moisture. Historical late-August baselines average near 30 °C, yet the narrow 26–30 °C band in market pricing reflects genuine uncertainty over whether modest cloud increases or wind shifts will cap the daily high a degree or two lower than current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
30°C 30%
28°C 26%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
20%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
30%
31°C
17%
32°C
6%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
7%
30°C 30%
28°C 26%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$12 ปริมาณ
25%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
31°C
$11 ปริมาณ
17%
32°C
$42 ปริมาณ
6%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing skies and warming after mid-week rains have lifted trader focus on Beijing's August 31 maximum, with forecasts from official agencies centering near 29–30 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northeast winds. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, exact peak solar heating timing, and subtle advection of slightly drier continental air versus residual moisture. Historical late-August baselines average near 30 °C, yet the narrow 26–30 °C band in market pricing reflects genuine uncertainty over whether modest cloud increases or wind shifts will cap the daily high a degree or two lower than current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing skies and warming after mid-week rains have lifted trader focus on Beijing's August 31 maximum, with forecasts from official agencies centering near 29–30 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northeast winds. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, exact peak solar heating timing, and subtle advection of slightly drier continental air versus residual moisture. Historical late-August baselines average near 30 °C, yet the narrow 26–30 °C band in market pricing reflects genuine uncertainty over whether modest cloud increases or wind shifts will cap the daily high a degree or two lower than current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent clearing skies and warming after mid-week rains have lifted trader focus on Beijing's August 31 maximum, with forecasts from official agencies centering near 29–30 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northeast winds. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, exact peak solar heating timing, and subtle advection of slightly drier continental air versus residual moisture. Historical late-August baselines average near 30 °C, yet the narrow 26–30 °C band in market pricing reflects genuine uncertainty over whether modest cloud increases or wind shifts will cap the daily high a degree or two lower than current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย