Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C or higher 28%
24°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C or higher
28%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C or higher 28%
24°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$136 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
25°C
$172 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$30 ปริมาณ
34%
27°C or higher
$690 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,012วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,012วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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