Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for Warsaw on August 31, driven by moderate southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under late-summer conditions. Overnight lows have trended downward from recent days near 18°C, consistent with seasonal decline toward September averages around 15°C, while daytime highs near 25–27°C provide context for the daily range. Trader sentiment clusters around 15–17°C outcomes because small variations in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with only low probability assigned to extremes below 10°C or above 20°C given the stable pattern. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
10°C or below 59%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
18°C 50%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
59%
11°C
47%
12°C
42%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C or higher
2%
10°C or below 59%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
18°C 50%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
59%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
20°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for Warsaw on August 31, driven by moderate southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under late-summer conditions. Overnight lows have trended downward from recent days near 18°C, consistent with seasonal decline toward September averages around 15°C, while daytime highs near 25–27°C provide context for the daily range. Trader sentiment clusters around 15–17°C outcomes because small variations in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with only low probability assigned to extremes below 10°C or above 20°C given the stable pattern. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for Warsaw on August 31, driven by moderate southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under late-summer conditions. Overnight lows have trended downward from recent days near 18°C, consistent with seasonal decline toward September averages around 15°C, while daytime highs near 25–27°C provide context for the daily range. Trader sentiment clusters around 15–17°C outcomes because small variations in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with only low probability assigned to extremes below 10°C or above 20°C given the stable pattern. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for Warsaw on August 31, driven by moderate southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under late-summer conditions. Overnight lows have trended downward from recent days near 18°C, consistent with seasonal decline toward September averages around 15°C, while daytime highs near 25–27°C provide context for the daily range. Trader sentiment clusters around 15–17°C outcomes because small variations in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with only low probability assigned to extremes below 10°C or above 20°C given the stable pattern. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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