Trader sentiment centers on forecast models projecting Warsaw’s minimum temperature tonight around 15–16°C, driven by a moist, unstable air mass with scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80–90% limit heat loss from the surface, while partial clearing overnight could allow temperatures to dip toward 15°C under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on cloud persistence and wind mixing, creating tight probabilities between the two leading outcomes; historical August lows average near 15°C but shift with synoptic patterns like today’s frontal passage. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and real-time observations will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
15°C 33%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
12°C 8%
$953 ปริมาณ
$953 ปริมาณ
11°C or below
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
33%
16°C
65%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 33%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
12°C 8%
$953 ปริมาณ
$953 ปริมาณ
11°C or below
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
33%
16°C
65%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on forecast models projecting Warsaw’s minimum temperature tonight around 15–16°C, driven by a moist, unstable air mass with scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80–90% limit heat loss from the surface, while partial clearing overnight could allow temperatures to dip toward 15°C under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on cloud persistence and wind mixing, creating tight probabilities between the two leading outcomes; historical August lows average near 15°C but shift with synoptic patterns like today’s frontal passage. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and real-time observations will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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