Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate clear skies and light westerly winds over Milan on August 31, supporting strong daytime insolation and surface heating that could push the maximum to 30–32°C. With high pressure dominating and minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, the peak depends on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak fronts. Historical late-August climatology averages around 27–28°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–31°C due to model spread in these fine-scale variables, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or cooler outcomes pending the final 48-hour updates from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 31?
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
32°C 11%
29°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
36%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
32°C 11%
29°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
36%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate clear skies and light westerly winds over Milan on August 31, supporting strong daytime insolation and surface heating that could push the maximum to 30–32°C. With high pressure dominating and minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, the peak depends on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak fronts. Historical late-August climatology averages around 27–28°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–31°C due to model spread in these fine-scale variables, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or cooler outcomes pending the final 48-hour updates from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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