Recent typhoon "Shadell" peripheral flows and associated northerly winds have introduced cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and a cooling trend across central China, moderating late-August highs in Wuhan from prior 36–38°C readings. Official forecasts from sources including the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and international models now project August 31 maxima near 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy skies and 25–50% storm chances, consistent with the market’s leading 32°C (37.5%) and 31–33°C cluster. Historical late-summer baselines for the region average 32–34°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors the lower end of that range; traders appear to weigh model consensus on daytime heating versus rain suppression when assigning these probabilities ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
32°C 39%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
34°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
39%
33°C
24%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
34°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
39%
33°C
24%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent typhoon "Shadell" peripheral flows and associated northerly winds have introduced cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and a cooling trend across central China, moderating late-August highs in Wuhan from prior 36–38°C readings. Official forecasts from sources including the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and international models now project August 31 maxima near 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy skies and 25–50% storm chances, consistent with the market’s leading 32°C (37.5%) and 31–33°C cluster. Historical late-summer baselines for the region average 32–34°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors the lower end of that range; traders appear to weigh model consensus on daytime heating versus rain suppression when assigning these probabilities ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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