Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–23°C overnight into August 30 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin, moderated by residual humidity after scattered showers on prior days and light winds. Official outlooks show daytime highs around 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, supporting gradual overnight temperature drops without strong cold-air advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–23°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any China Meteorological Administration briefing before resolution remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities between the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
28°C or higher 78%
18°C or below 77%
26°C 77%
20°C 76%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
77%
19°C
38%
20°C
76%
21°C
76%
22°C
43%
23°C
53%
24°C
40%
25°C
2%
26°C
77%
27°C
76%
28°C or higher
78%
28°C or higher 78%
18°C or below 77%
26°C 77%
20°C 76%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
77%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
76%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
76%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
53%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
77%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
76%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–23°C overnight into August 30 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin, moderated by residual humidity after scattered showers on prior days and light winds. Official outlooks show daytime highs around 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, supporting gradual overnight temperature drops without strong cold-air advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–23°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any China Meteorological Administration briefing before resolution remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–23°C overnight into August 30 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin, moderated by residual humidity after scattered showers on prior days and light winds. Official outlooks show daytime highs around 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, supporting gradual overnight temperature drops without strong cold-air advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–23°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any China Meteorological Administration briefing before resolution remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–23°C overnight into August 30 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin, moderated by residual humidity after scattered showers on prior days and light winds. Official outlooks show daytime highs around 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, supporting gradual overnight temperature drops without strong cold-air advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–23°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any China Meteorological Administration briefing before resolution remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities between the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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