Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers across the Sichuan Basin have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius amid ongoing monsoon influences. Official forecasts from multiple models show lows of 21–25 °C depending on the exact timing and intensity of evening precipitation, which reduces the temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining elevated dew points around 24 °C. These factors create tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 26 °C, as modest shifts in wind speed or shower duration can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C without changing the broader synoptic pattern. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final official station reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
26°C 99.5%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$2,522 ปริมาณ
$2,522 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 99.5%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$2,522 ปริมาณ
$2,522 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$185 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$128 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$218 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$783 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$42 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$128 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$55 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$417 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$189 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$171 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$207 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers across the Sichuan Basin have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius amid ongoing monsoon influences. Official forecasts from multiple models show lows of 21–25 °C depending on the exact timing and intensity of evening precipitation, which reduces the temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining elevated dew points around 24 °C. These factors create tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 26 °C, as modest shifts in wind speed or shower duration can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C without changing the broader synoptic pattern. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,522วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers across the Sichuan Basin have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius amid ongoing monsoon influences. Official forecasts from multiple models show lows of 21–25 °C depending on the exact timing and intensity of evening precipitation, which reduces the temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining elevated dew points around 24 °C. These factors create tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 26 °C, as modest shifts in wind speed or shower duration can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C without changing the broader synoptic pattern. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,522วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers across the Sichuan Basin have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius amid ongoing monsoon influences. Official forecasts from multiple models show lows of 21–25 °C depending on the exact timing and intensity of evening precipitation, which reduces the temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining elevated dew points around 24 °C. These factors create tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 26 °C, as modest shifts in wind speed or shower duration can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C without changing the broader synoptic pattern. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final official station reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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