Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned ensembles and regional agencies point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Guangzhou on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of heavy rain, suppressing daytime highs to around 30–31°C and keeping minimums above the late-August climatological average of 25.1°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with this consensus while assigning meaningful weight to 25–26°C outcomes amid model spread on exact rainfall timing. New observational data and updated runs ahead of local midnight will refine resolution around official minimum readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
27°C 51%
23°C 49%
30°C 49%
32°C or higher 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
45%
27°C 51%
23°C 49%
30°C 49%
32°C or higher 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$16 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$16 ปริมาณ
49%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$19 ปริมาณ
42%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
30°C
$10 ปริมาณ
49%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned ensembles and regional agencies point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Guangzhou on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of heavy rain, suppressing daytime highs to around 30–31°C and keeping minimums above the late-August climatological average of 25.1°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with this consensus while assigning meaningful weight to 25–26°C outcomes amid model spread on exact rainfall timing. New observational data and updated runs ahead of local midnight will refine resolution around official minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned ensembles and regional agencies point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Guangzhou on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of heavy rain, suppressing daytime highs to around 30–31°C and keeping minimums above the late-August climatological average of 25.1°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with this consensus while assigning meaningful weight to 25–26°C outcomes amid model spread on exact rainfall timing. New observational data and updated runs ahead of local midnight will refine resolution around official minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned ensembles and regional agencies point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Guangzhou on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of heavy rain, suppressing daytime highs to around 30–31°C and keeping minimums above the late-August climatological average of 25.1°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with this consensus while assigning meaningful weight to 25–26°C outcomes amid model spread on exact rainfall timing. New observational data and updated runs ahead of local midnight will refine resolution around official minimum readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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