**Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall from a stationary frontal system are keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated in Busan, with official KMA guidance placing the August 30 low in the 22–26 °C range.** High humidity (dew points near 26–27 °C) and light southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–26 °C. Ensemble model spreads and variable rain timing introduce uncertainty: clearer breaks could allow modest cooling toward 24 °C or below, while continued overcast conditions and tropical-night effects favor 26–27 °C or slightly higher readings. Recent days have featured similar warm, moist nights above 25 °C, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading 26 °C outcome and nearby buckets. Updated KMA and global model runs through the evening of the 29th will be the key near-term driver for any further shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Busan on August 30?
32°C or higher 80%
22°C or below 49%
26°C 43%
25°C 30%
22°C or below
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
43%
27°C
26%
28°C
24%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
80%
32°C or higher 80%
22°C or below 49%
26°C 43%
25°C 30%
22°C or below
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
43%
27°C
26%
28°C
24%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall from a stationary frontal system are keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated in Busan, with official KMA guidance placing the August 30 low in the 22–26 °C range.** High humidity (dew points near 26–27 °C) and light southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–26 °C. Ensemble model spreads and variable rain timing introduce uncertainty: clearer breaks could allow modest cooling toward 24 °C or below, while continued overcast conditions and tropical-night effects favor 26–27 °C or slightly higher readings. Recent days have featured similar warm, moist nights above 25 °C, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading 26 °C outcome and nearby buckets. Updated KMA and global model runs through the evening of the 29th will be the key near-term driver for any further shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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