**Trader consensus has converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 28, 2026, with 99.9% implied probability.** This reflects verified post-event observations showing overnight and early-morning readings holding at or above that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. A broad low-pressure trough brought light southwest winds, high relative humidity near 75-95%, and scattered showers that limited radiative cooling overnight. Diurnal ranges remained modest, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling to push minima lower. Historical August climatology for Hong Kong supports nighttime lows in the 26-28°C range under similar patterns, and official hourly data confirmed no deviations below 28°C. Only an unexpected revision in the finalized HKO daily extract or measurement error could alter the outcome, though such changes are rare after initial publication.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
28°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$19,299 ปริมาณ
$19,299 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$19,299 ปริมาณ
$19,299 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$273 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$397 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$734 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,191 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$3,227 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,496 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$5,578 ปริมาณ
100%
29°C
$4,349 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$290 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$377 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$388 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 28, 2026, with 99.9% implied probability.** This reflects verified post-event observations showing overnight and early-morning readings holding at or above that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. A broad low-pressure trough brought light southwest winds, high relative humidity near 75-95%, and scattered showers that limited radiative cooling overnight. Diurnal ranges remained modest, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling to push minima lower. Historical August climatology for Hong Kong supports nighttime lows in the 26-28°C range under similar patterns, and official hourly data confirmed no deviations below 28°C. Only an unexpected revision in the finalized HKO daily extract or measurement error could alter the outcome, though such changes are rare after initial publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,299วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 28, 2026, with 99.9% implied probability.** This reflects verified post-event observations showing overnight and early-morning readings holding at or above that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. A broad low-pressure trough brought light southwest winds, high relative humidity near 75-95%, and scattered showers that limited radiative cooling overnight. Diurnal ranges remained modest, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling to push minima lower. Historical August climatology for Hong Kong supports nighttime lows in the 26-28°C range under similar patterns, and official hourly data confirmed no deviations below 28°C. Only an unexpected revision in the finalized HKO daily extract or measurement error could alter the outcome, though such changes are rare after initial publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,299วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 28, 2026, with 99.9% implied probability.** This reflects verified post-event observations showing overnight and early-morning readings holding at or above that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. A broad low-pressure trough brought light southwest winds, high relative humidity near 75-95%, and scattered showers that limited radiative cooling overnight. Diurnal ranges remained modest, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling to push minima lower. Historical August climatology for Hong Kong supports nighttime lows in the 26-28°C range under similar patterns, and official hourly data confirmed no deviations below 28°C. Only an unexpected revision in the finalized HKO daily extract or measurement error could alter the outcome, though such changes are rare after initial publication.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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