**Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, with 94% implied probability.** This reflects Hong Kong Observatory data showing overnight minima stabilizing near 28°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled, humid conditions with scattered showers and light west-southwest winds. Official forecasts listed a 27–28°C range for the day, with actual station readings (including the Observatory at 28.2°C minimum) confirming limited overnight cooling under persistent cloud cover and high humidity (65–95%). Sea-surface temperatures near 26°C further anchor the lower boundary. A realistic shift to 27°C would require clearer skies and stronger radiative cooling overnight, while 29°C or higher would need sustained daytime heat without typical evening drop—both low-probability given the current model consensus and observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
28°C 95%
27°C 5%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
$16,659 ปริมาณ
$16,659 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
95%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 95%
27°C 5%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
$16,659 ปริมาณ
$16,659 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$268 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$204 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,053 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,555 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$2,386 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$1,080 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$6,205 ปริมาณ
95%
29°C
$3,016 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$416 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$228 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, with 94% implied probability.** This reflects Hong Kong Observatory data showing overnight minima stabilizing near 28°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled, humid conditions with scattered showers and light west-southwest winds. Official forecasts listed a 27–28°C range for the day, with actual station readings (including the Observatory at 28.2°C minimum) confirming limited overnight cooling under persistent cloud cover and high humidity (65–95%). Sea-surface temperatures near 26°C further anchor the lower boundary. A realistic shift to 27°C would require clearer skies and stronger radiative cooling overnight, while 29°C or higher would need sustained daytime heat without typical evening drop—both low-probability given the current model consensus and observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,659วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, with 94% implied probability.** This reflects Hong Kong Observatory data showing overnight minima stabilizing near 28°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled, humid conditions with scattered showers and light west-southwest winds. Official forecasts listed a 27–28°C range for the day, with actual station readings (including the Observatory at 28.2°C minimum) confirming limited overnight cooling under persistent cloud cover and high humidity (65–95%). Sea-surface temperatures near 26°C further anchor the lower boundary. A realistic shift to 27°C would require clearer skies and stronger radiative cooling overnight, while 29°C or higher would need sustained daytime heat without typical evening drop—both low-probability given the current model consensus and observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,659วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, with 94% implied probability.** This reflects Hong Kong Observatory data showing overnight minima stabilizing near 28°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled, humid conditions with scattered showers and light west-southwest winds. Official forecasts listed a 27–28°C range for the day, with actual station readings (including the Observatory at 28.2°C minimum) confirming limited overnight cooling under persistent cloud cover and high humidity (65–95%). Sea-surface temperatures near 26°C further anchor the lower boundary. A realistic shift to 27°C would require clearer skies and stronger radiative cooling overnight, while 29°C or higher would need sustained daytime heat without typical evening drop—both low-probability given the current model consensus and observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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