Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam around 17–18°C on August 27, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16°C (40%), 17°C (30%), and 18°C (31%), as small differences in cloud cover, humidity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in the exact nocturnal minimum, typical for late-summer conditions near the seasonal average low of 15°C, with updated model runs and surface observations expected to refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
16°C 38%
18°C 32%
17°C 31%
19°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
13%
14°C
1%
15°C
19%
16°C
38%
17°C
31%
18°C
32%
19°C
22%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
10%
16°C 38%
18°C 32%
17°C 31%
19°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
13%
14°C
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
20°C
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam around 17–18°C on August 27, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16°C (40%), 17°C (30%), and 18°C (31%), as small differences in cloud cover, humidity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in the exact nocturnal minimum, typical for late-summer conditions near the seasonal average low of 15°C, with updated model runs and surface observations expected to refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam around 17–18°C on August 27, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16°C (40%), 17°C (30%), and 18°C (31%), as small differences in cloud cover, humidity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in the exact nocturnal minimum, typical for late-summer conditions near the seasonal average low of 15°C, with updated model runs and surface observations expected to refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam around 17–18°C on August 27, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16°C (40%), 17°C (30%), and 18°C (31%), as small differences in cloud cover, humidity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in the exact nocturnal minimum, typical for late-summer conditions near the seasonal average low of 15°C, with updated model runs and surface observations expected to refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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