**Persistent mild Atlantic air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are keeping overnight lows in Amsterdam anchored in the mid-teens Celsius for August 28.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble guidance from ECMWF/GFS place the minimum near 17°C, with most model runs showing 15–18°C depending on the exact timing of showers and the degree of low-level mixing under southwest flow. Recent days featured above-average daytime heat that has carried over into mild nights, while increased humidity and precipitation suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow sharper drops. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 15–19°C reflects this narrow forecast spread and the sensitivity of the daily minimum to small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could refine the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
19°C 86%
15°C 46%
18°C 44%
17°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
38%
15°C
46%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
44%
19°C
86%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 86%
15°C 46%
18°C 44%
17°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$15 ปริมาณ
8%
14°C
$26 ปริมาณ
38%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
19°C
$15 ปริมาณ
86%
20°C
$10 ปริมาณ
13%
21°C
$15 ปริมาณ
8%
22°C or higher
$38 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild Atlantic air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are keeping overnight lows in Amsterdam anchored in the mid-teens Celsius for August 28.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble guidance from ECMWF/GFS place the minimum near 17°C, with most model runs showing 15–18°C depending on the exact timing of showers and the degree of low-level mixing under southwest flow. Recent days featured above-average daytime heat that has carried over into mild nights, while increased humidity and precipitation suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow sharper drops.
The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 15–19°C reflects this narrow forecast spread and the sensitivity of the daily minimum to small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$151วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild Atlantic air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are keeping overnight lows in Amsterdam anchored in the mid-teens Celsius for August 28.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble guidance from ECMWF/GFS place the minimum near 17°C, with most model runs showing 15–18°C depending on the exact timing of showers and the degree of low-level mixing under southwest flow. Recent days featured above-average daytime heat that has carried over into mild nights, while increased humidity and precipitation suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow sharper drops.
The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 15–19°C reflects this narrow forecast spread and the sensitivity of the daily minimum to small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$151วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent mild Atlantic air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are keeping overnight lows in Amsterdam anchored in the mid-teens Celsius for August 28.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble guidance from ECMWF/GFS place the minimum near 17°C, with most model runs showing 15–18°C depending on the exact timing of showers and the degree of low-level mixing under southwest flow. Recent days featured above-average daytime heat that has carried over into mild nights, while increased humidity and precipitation suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow sharper drops. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 15–19°C reflects this narrow forecast spread and the sensitivity of the daily minimum to small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could refine the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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