Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Mexico City highs on September 2 likely reaching 23–24 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered because afternoon convection and cloud cover remain uncertain. At 2,240 m elevation, radiational cooling and orographic lifting from surrounding mountains moderate peak temperatures, while late-summer moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima before solar noon. Light steering winds and variable humidity further blur distinctions among the leading bins; a drier, sunnier window could push readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower side of the range. Updated model runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
24°C 44%
26°C or higher 40%
23°C 35%
25°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
8%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
10%
23°C
35%
24°C
36%
25°C
22%
26°C or higher
40%
24°C 44%
26°C or higher 40%
23°C 35%
25°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$145 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$145 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$72 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
17%
21°C
$16 ปริมาณ
17%
22°C
$17 ปริมาณ
10%
23°C
$60 ปริมาณ
35%
24°C
$49 ปริมาณ
36%
25°C
$93 ปริมาณ
22%
26°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Mexico City highs on September 2 likely reaching 23–24 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered because afternoon convection and cloud cover remain uncertain. At 2,240 m elevation, radiational cooling and orographic lifting from surrounding mountains moderate peak temperatures, while late-summer moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima before solar noon. Light steering winds and variable humidity further blur distinctions among the leading bins; a drier, sunnier window could push readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower side of the range. Updated model runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$767วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Mexico City highs on September 2 likely reaching 23–24 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered because afternoon convection and cloud cover remain uncertain. At 2,240 m elevation, radiational cooling and orographic lifting from surrounding mountains moderate peak temperatures, while late-summer moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima before solar noon. Light steering winds and variable humidity further blur distinctions among the leading bins; a drier, sunnier window could push readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower side of the range. Updated model runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$767วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Mexico City highs on September 2 likely reaching 23–24 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered because afternoon convection and cloud cover remain uncertain. At 2,240 m elevation, radiational cooling and orographic lifting from surrounding mountains moderate peak temperatures, while late-summer moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima before solar noon. Light steering winds and variable humidity further blur distinctions among the leading bins; a drier, sunnier window could push readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower side of the range. Updated model runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย