Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources, including ECMWF and local observations, indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over Chengdu on September 2, supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This aligns with the market's concentration on 33–35°C outcomes, as the Sichuan Basin's topography often amplifies warming during late-summer anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent 10-day forecasts show consistency around 30–34°C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of 28–30°C, with little model spread or incoming frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric signals against the historical potential for brief cooling episodes in the basin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
34°C 35%
33°C 25%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 35%
33°C 25%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
$391 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$192 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$330 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$207 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$842 ปริมาณ
12%
33°C
$262 ปริมาณ
25%
34°C
$339 ปริมาณ
35%
35°C
$705 ปริมาณ
24%
36°C
$315 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C
$404 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$935 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources, including ECMWF and local observations, indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over Chengdu on September 2, supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This aligns with the market's concentration on 33–35°C outcomes, as the Sichuan Basin's topography often amplifies warming during late-summer anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent 10-day forecasts show consistency around 30–34°C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of 28–30°C, with little model spread or incoming frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric signals against the historical potential for brief cooling episodes in the basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,921วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources, including ECMWF and local observations, indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over Chengdu on September 2, supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This aligns with the market's concentration on 33–35°C outcomes, as the Sichuan Basin's topography often amplifies warming during late-summer anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent 10-day forecasts show consistency around 30–34°C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of 28–30°C, with little model spread or incoming frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric signals against the historical potential for brief cooling episodes in the basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,921วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources, including ECMWF and local observations, indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over Chengdu on September 2, supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This aligns with the market's concentration on 33–35°C outcomes, as the Sichuan Basin's topography often amplifies warming during late-summer anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent 10-day forecasts show consistency around 30–34°C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of 28–30°C, with little model spread or incoming frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric signals against the historical potential for brief cooling episodes in the basin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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