Latest meteorological model runs from sources including INMET-aligned forecasts and international ensembles point to a peak temperature of 28–30°C in São Paulo on September 4, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, northerly flow, and daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions support strong afternoon insolation with minimal cloud interference or precipitation, pushing maxima above the September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. Model spread remains modest, with some guidance showing slightly cooler outcomes near 27°C if marine influence strengthens, while a few warmer solutions reach 31°C under drier boundary-layer profiles. Traders have weighted the 29°C bin highest at 40% implied probability, consistent with the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance issued in the past 48 hours. Final official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 4?
29°C 40%
28°C 24%
30°C 24%
27°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
24%
29°C
40%
30°C
24%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 40%
28°C 24%
30°C 24%
27°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$275 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$100 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$228 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$97 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$181 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$127 ปริมาณ
24%
29°C
$191 ปริมาณ
40%
30°C
$412 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$26 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model runs from sources including INMET-aligned forecasts and international ensembles point to a peak temperature of 28–30°C in São Paulo on September 4, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, northerly flow, and daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions support strong afternoon insolation with minimal cloud interference or precipitation, pushing maxima above the September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. Model spread remains modest, with some guidance showing slightly cooler outcomes near 27°C if marine influence strengthens, while a few warmer solutions reach 31°C under drier boundary-layer profiles. Traders have weighted the 29°C bin highest at 40% implied probability, consistent with the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance issued in the past 48 hours. Final official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,637วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model runs from sources including INMET-aligned forecasts and international ensembles point to a peak temperature of 28–30°C in São Paulo on September 4, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, northerly flow, and daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions support strong afternoon insolation with minimal cloud interference or precipitation, pushing maxima above the September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. Model spread remains modest, with some guidance showing slightly cooler outcomes near 27°C if marine influence strengthens, while a few warmer solutions reach 31°C under drier boundary-layer profiles. Traders have weighted the 29°C bin highest at 40% implied probability, consistent with the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance issued in the past 48 hours. Final official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,637วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model runs from sources including INMET-aligned forecasts and international ensembles point to a peak temperature of 28–30°C in São Paulo on September 4, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, northerly flow, and daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions support strong afternoon insolation with minimal cloud interference or precipitation, pushing maxima above the September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. Model spread remains modest, with some guidance showing slightly cooler outcomes near 27°C if marine influence strengthens, while a few warmer solutions reach 31°C under drier boundary-layer profiles. Traders have weighted the 29°C bin highest at 40% implied probability, consistent with the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance issued in the past 48 hours. Final official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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