Recent convective activity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone are moderating maximum temperatures across Panama City during the peak of the rainy season. Official forecasts for September 4 point to highs of 28–30°C amid high humidity, light winds, and widespread cloud cover that limits solar heating, with only modest day-to-day variability expected from model runs. These conditions create the narrow spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 32°C, as traders weigh the potential for brief clearer intervals against typical suppression by precipitation. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shifts ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on September 4?
30°C 66%
31°C 44%
34°C or higher 20%
29°C 18%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
18%
30°C
66%
31°C
44%
32°C
-
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
20%
30°C 66%
31°C 44%
34°C or higher 20%
29°C 18%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
18%
30°C
66%
31°C
44%
32°C
-
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent convective activity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone are moderating maximum temperatures across Panama City during the peak of the rainy season. Official forecasts for September 4 point to highs of 28–30°C amid high humidity, light winds, and widespread cloud cover that limits solar heating, with only modest day-to-day variability expected from model runs. These conditions create the narrow spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 32°C, as traders weigh the potential for brief clearer intervals against typical suppression by precipitation. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shifts ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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