**Forecast uncertainty for London's maximum temperature on September 2 centers on variable cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation modulating daytime heating.** Multiple models show highs clustered around 19–23 °C, aligning with the tight market distribution favoring 20–22 °C. Key drivers include persistent stratiform cloud (reducing solar insolation and capping the diurnal rise) versus breaks that allow greater shortwave heating, plus the strength and moisture content of the Atlantic air mass advected by moderate SW winds. Light drizzle or showers in some runs further suppress temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating. Current conditions on September 1—mild and partly cloudy with highs near 21–23 °C—provide a baseline, but ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperature and cloud radiative forcing creates the observed near-even odds among the leading outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and European models will refine these details as the 24-hour window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 2?
Highest temperature in London on September 2?
21°C 36%
22°C 27%
20°C 26%
19°C 5.8%
ใหม่
$20,933 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,933 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
26%
21°C
36%
22°C
27%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 27%
20°C 26%
19°C 5.8%
ใหม่
$20,933 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,933 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$2,392 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$1,253 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$973 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$3,753 ปริมาณ
26%
21°C
$3,221 ปริมาณ
36%
22°C
$3,949 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$1,930 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$1,544 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$1,294 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$379 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C or higher
$245 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for London's maximum temperature on September 2 centers on variable cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation modulating daytime heating.** Multiple models show highs clustered around 19–23 °C, aligning with the tight market distribution favoring 20–22 °C.
Key drivers include persistent stratiform cloud (reducing solar insolation and capping the diurnal rise) versus breaks that allow greater shortwave heating, plus the strength and moisture content of the Atlantic air mass advected by moderate SW winds. Light drizzle or showers in some runs further suppress temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating.
Current conditions on September 1—mild and partly cloudy with highs near 21–23 °C—provide a baseline, but ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperature and cloud radiative forcing creates the observed near-even odds among the leading outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and European models will refine these details as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,933วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for London's maximum temperature on September 2 centers on variable cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation modulating daytime heating.** Multiple models show highs clustered around 19–23 °C, aligning with the tight market distribution favoring 20–22 °C.
Key drivers include persistent stratiform cloud (reducing solar insolation and capping the diurnal rise) versus breaks that allow greater shortwave heating, plus the strength and moisture content of the Atlantic air mass advected by moderate SW winds. Light drizzle or showers in some runs further suppress temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating.
Current conditions on September 1—mild and partly cloudy with highs near 21–23 °C—provide a baseline, but ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperature and cloud radiative forcing creates the observed near-even odds among the leading outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and European models will refine these details as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,933วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty for London's maximum temperature on September 2 centers on variable cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation modulating daytime heating.** Multiple models show highs clustered around 19–23 °C, aligning with the tight market distribution favoring 20–22 °C. Key drivers include persistent stratiform cloud (reducing solar insolation and capping the diurnal rise) versus breaks that allow greater shortwave heating, plus the strength and moisture content of the Atlantic air mass advected by moderate SW winds. Light drizzle or showers in some runs further suppress temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating. Current conditions on September 1—mild and partly cloudy with highs near 21–23 °C—provide a baseline, but ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperature and cloud radiative forcing creates the observed near-even odds among the leading outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and European models will refine these details as the 24-hour window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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