Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Los Angeles on September 3 projects a morning marine layer with low clouds and fog giving way to partly to mostly sunny skies, southwest winds around 15 mph, and afternoon highs centered near 75 °F. This places the most likely maximum squarely in the 76-77 °F bin, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average of 76.7 °F and the absence of anomalous ridging or offshore flow that would drive higher readings. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds of 80 °F or above while also capping downside risk below 74 °F. Traders have aligned with this stable forecast consensus, reflected in the dominant 62.5 % market-implied probability for 76-77 °F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 3?
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
62%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
65°F or below
$140 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$405 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$157 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$153 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$108 ปริมาณ
3%
74-75°F
$566 ปริมาณ
13%
76-77°F
$2,084 ปริมาณ
62%
78-79°F
$1,026 ปริมาณ
22%
80-81°F
$260 ปริมาณ
4%
82-83°F
$90 ปริมาณ
2%
84°F or higher
$124 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Los Angeles on September 3 projects a morning marine layer with low clouds and fog giving way to partly to mostly sunny skies, southwest winds around 15 mph, and afternoon highs centered near 75 °F. This places the most likely maximum squarely in the 76-77 °F bin, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average of 76.7 °F and the absence of anomalous ridging or offshore flow that would drive higher readings. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds of 80 °F or above while also capping downside risk below 74 °F. Traders have aligned with this stable forecast consensus, reflected in the dominant 62.5 % market-implied probability for 76-77 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,114วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Los Angeles on September 3 projects a morning marine layer with low clouds and fog giving way to partly to mostly sunny skies, southwest winds around 15 mph, and afternoon highs centered near 75 °F. This places the most likely maximum squarely in the 76-77 °F bin, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average of 76.7 °F and the absence of anomalous ridging or offshore flow that would drive higher readings. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds of 80 °F or above while also capping downside risk below 74 °F. Traders have aligned with this stable forecast consensus, reflected in the dominant 62.5 % market-implied probability for 76-77 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,114วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Los Angeles on September 3 projects a morning marine layer with low clouds and fog giving way to partly to mostly sunny skies, southwest winds around 15 mph, and afternoon highs centered near 75 °F. This places the most likely maximum squarely in the 76-77 °F bin, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average of 76.7 °F and the absence of anomalous ridging or offshore flow that would drive higher readings. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds of 80 °F or above while also capping downside risk below 74 °F. Traders have aligned with this stable forecast consensus, reflected in the dominant 62.5 % market-implied probability for 76-77 °F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย