Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors modest daytime heating with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%) or 32°C (39%) reflect trader weighting of potential model underestimation from urban heat effects or slight warming in updated runs, while the slim probability for 34°C or higher accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, with resolution hinging on official station readings at peak afternoon hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
33°C 61%
32°C 39%
31°C 2.4%
34°C <1%
ใหม่
$16,122 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,122 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
39%
33°C
61%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 39%
31°C 2.4%
34°C <1%
ใหม่
$16,122 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,122 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
$659 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,361 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$549 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,666 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$3,408 ปริมาณ
39%
33°C
$6,191 ปริมาณ
61%
34°C
$878 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$525 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$255 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$249 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors modest daytime heating with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%) or 32°C (39%) reflect trader weighting of potential model underestimation from urban heat effects or slight warming in updated runs, while the slim probability for 34°C or higher accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, with resolution hinging on official station readings at peak afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,122วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors modest daytime heating with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%) or 32°C (39%) reflect trader weighting of potential model underestimation from urban heat effects or slight warming in updated runs, while the slim probability for 34°C or higher accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, with resolution hinging on official station readings at peak afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,122วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors modest daytime heating with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%) or 32°C (39%) reflect trader weighting of potential model underestimation from urban heat effects or slight warming in updated runs, while the slim probability for 34°C or higher accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, with resolution hinging on official station readings at peak afternoon hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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