**Persistent tropical moisture from approaching Tropical Storm Edouard and associated cloud cover are keeping overnight lows elevated above the 75°F September 3 climatological average.** National Weather Service and model guidance through early September 1 indicate upper-70s minima for the night of September 2–3, with humid southerly flow, widespread showers, and limited radiative cooling limiting drops to the 78–81°F range that dominates current market-implied probabilities. Slight differences among the leading 80–81°F, 78–79°F, and 82–83°F bins reflect model spread in exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and any partial clearing before dawn, which can alter the overnight minimum by a degree or two. Forecasters note continued flood-watch conditions and high dew points that suppress cooling, while any faster storm passage could allow marginally lower readings. Updated NWS guidance and model runs ahead of September 3 will be the key near-term drivers for trader adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Houston on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 3?
78-79°F 50%
80-81°F 50%
76-77°F 26%
82-83°F 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
71°F or below
17%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
15%
90°F or higher
18%
78-79°F 50%
80-81°F 50%
76-77°F 26%
82-83°F 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
71°F or below
$20 ปริมาณ
17%
72-73°F
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
74-75°F
$10 ปริมาณ
17%
76-77°F
$10 ปริมาณ
26%
78-79°F
$16 ปริมาณ
31%
80-81°F
$28 ปริมาณ
37%
82-83°F
$10 ปริมาณ
24%
84-85°F
$10 ปริมาณ
24%
86-87°F
$10 ปริมาณ
20%
88-89°F
$10 ปริมาณ
15%
90°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture from approaching Tropical Storm Edouard and associated cloud cover are keeping overnight lows elevated above the 75°F September 3 climatological average.** National Weather Service and model guidance through early September 1 indicate upper-70s minima for the night of September 2–3, with humid southerly flow, widespread showers, and limited radiative cooling limiting drops to the 78–81°F range that dominates current market-implied probabilities.
Slight differences among the leading 80–81°F, 78–79°F, and 82–83°F bins reflect model spread in exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and any partial clearing before dawn, which can alter the overnight minimum by a degree or two. Forecasters note continued flood-watch conditions and high dew points that suppress cooling, while any faster storm passage could allow marginally lower readings. Updated NWS guidance and model runs ahead of September 3 will be the key near-term drivers for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$144วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture from approaching Tropical Storm Edouard and associated cloud cover are keeping overnight lows elevated above the 75°F September 3 climatological average.** National Weather Service and model guidance through early September 1 indicate upper-70s minima for the night of September 2–3, with humid southerly flow, widespread showers, and limited radiative cooling limiting drops to the 78–81°F range that dominates current market-implied probabilities.
Slight differences among the leading 80–81°F, 78–79°F, and 82–83°F bins reflect model spread in exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and any partial clearing before dawn, which can alter the overnight minimum by a degree or two. Forecasters note continued flood-watch conditions and high dew points that suppress cooling, while any faster storm passage could allow marginally lower readings. Updated NWS guidance and model runs ahead of September 3 will be the key near-term drivers for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$144วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent tropical moisture from approaching Tropical Storm Edouard and associated cloud cover are keeping overnight lows elevated above the 75°F September 3 climatological average.** National Weather Service and model guidance through early September 1 indicate upper-70s minima for the night of September 2–3, with humid southerly flow, widespread showers, and limited radiative cooling limiting drops to the 78–81°F range that dominates current market-implied probabilities. Slight differences among the leading 80–81°F, 78–79°F, and 82–83°F bins reflect model spread in exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and any partial clearing before dawn, which can alter the overnight minimum by a degree or two. Forecasters note continued flood-watch conditions and high dew points that suppress cooling, while any faster storm passage could allow marginally lower readings. Updated NWS guidance and model runs ahead of September 3 will be the key near-term drivers for trader adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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