Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 1 converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance center near 32 °C, with a modest warm bias in some global runs pushing isolated 34 °C solutions; historical September averages of ~30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat or marine-layer cooling reinforce this narrow range. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the market’s 60.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 39 % on 32 °C directly reflects this tight forecast envelope and limited upside for outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
33°C 59%
32°C 40%
31°C 11%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
11%
32°C
40%
33°C
59%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 40%
31°C 11%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
32°C
$184 ปริมาณ
40%
33°C
$696 ปริมาณ
59%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$66 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$166 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$266 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$266 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 1 converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance center near 32 °C, with a modest warm bias in some global runs pushing isolated 34 °C solutions; historical September averages of ~30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat or marine-layer cooling reinforce this narrow range. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the market’s 60.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 39 % on 32 °C directly reflects this tight forecast envelope and limited upside for outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,865วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 1 converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance center near 32 °C, with a modest warm bias in some global runs pushing isolated 34 °C solutions; historical September averages of ~30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat or marine-layer cooling reinforce this narrow range. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the market’s 60.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 39 % on 32 °C directly reflects this tight forecast envelope and limited upside for outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,865วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 1 converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance center near 32 °C, with a modest warm bias in some global runs pushing isolated 34 °C solutions; historical September averages of ~30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat or marine-layer cooling reinforce this narrow range. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the market’s 60.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 39 % on 32 °C directly reflects this tight forecast envelope and limited upside for outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย