Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs on August 31 will most likely reach 31–32°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation near the coast. Consensus across sources shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings to 33°C or higher, while overnight lows around 25–26°C limit daytime rebound potential. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 63.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C, with only modest odds on 33°C reflecting minor model spread and typical forecast uncertainty ranges this close to the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
32°C 64%
31°C 31%
33°C 9%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
31%
32°C
64%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 31%
33°C 9%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$20 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$27 ปริมาณ
31%
32°C
$16 ปริมาณ
64%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs on August 31 will most likely reach 31–32°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation near the coast. Consensus across sources shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings to 33°C or higher, while overnight lows around 25–26°C limit daytime rebound potential. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 63.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C, with only modest odds on 33°C reflecting minor model spread and typical forecast uncertainty ranges this close to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs on August 31 will most likely reach 31–32°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation near the coast. Consensus across sources shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings to 33°C or higher, while overnight lows around 25–26°C limit daytime rebound potential. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 63.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C, with only modest odds on 33°C reflecting minor model spread and typical forecast uncertainty ranges this close to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs on August 31 will most likely reach 31–32°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation near the coast. Consensus across sources shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings to 33°C or higher, while overnight lows around 25–26°C limit daytime rebound potential. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 63.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C, with only modest odds on 33°C reflecting minor model spread and typical forecast uncertainty ranges this close to the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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