Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 29, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit cloud cover while the Mediterranean Sea provides modest cooling. Model runs cluster around 33°C as the most probable maximum, consistent with late-summer climatology showing typical highs near 30°C but elevated this year due to regional warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probability (63.5%) to 33°C because it aligns with the tightest model agreement and historical verification patterns for coastal Israel under similar synoptic setups; slight upward revisions in some guidance support the secondary 34°C share. Final resolution will depend on the highest official hourly reading from local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
33°C 64%
34°C 22%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
64%
34°C
22%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 64%
34°C 22%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
64%
34°C
22%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 29, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit cloud cover while the Mediterranean Sea provides modest cooling. Model runs cluster around 33°C as the most probable maximum, consistent with late-summer climatology showing typical highs near 30°C but elevated this year due to regional warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probability (63.5%) to 33°C because it aligns with the tightest model agreement and historical verification patterns for coastal Israel under similar synoptic setups; slight upward revisions in some guidance support the secondary 34°C share. Final resolution will depend on the highest official hourly reading from local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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