Forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by persistent light westerly winds, high humidity near 70–85% overnight, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus aligns with historical August lows around 23–25°C and recent stable patterns showing only modest day-to-day variation. The 48% market-implied probability on 21°C or below captures lingering uncertainty in coastal boundary-layer effects and any last-minute model shifts, while elevated odds around 25–26°C reflect the most likely range from current guidance ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
21°C or below 93%
22°C 48%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
93%
22°C
48%
23°C
24%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
5%
21°C or below 93%
22°C 48%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
93%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by persistent light westerly winds, high humidity near 70–85% overnight, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus aligns with historical August lows around 23–25°C and recent stable patterns showing only modest day-to-day variation. The 48% market-implied probability on 21°C or below captures lingering uncertainty in coastal boundary-layer effects and any last-minute model shifts, while elevated odds around 25–26°C reflect the most likely range from current guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by persistent light westerly winds, high humidity near 70–85% overnight, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus aligns with historical August lows around 23–25°C and recent stable patterns showing only modest day-to-day variation. The 48% market-implied probability on 21°C or below captures lingering uncertainty in coastal boundary-layer effects and any last-minute model shifts, while elevated odds around 25–26°C reflect the most likely range from current guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by persistent light westerly winds, high humidity near 70–85% overnight, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus aligns with historical August lows around 23–25°C and recent stable patterns showing only modest day-to-day variation. The 48% market-implied probability on 21°C or below captures lingering uncertainty in coastal boundary-layer effects and any last-minute model shifts, while elevated odds around 25–26°C reflect the most likely range from current guidance ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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