Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Wuhan's September 1 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30 °C (26 %) and 29 °C (24.5 %). A brief cooling episode driven by peripheral flow from western Pacific typhoons and associated rainfall is moderating late-August heat, yet subtropical humidity, light northeasterly winds, and persistent warm advection keep daytime maxima close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, with lighter rain chances on the day itself limiting further cooling. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 1?
29°C 30%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
30%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
6%
29°C 30%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
30%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Wuhan's September 1 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30 °C (26 %) and 29 °C (24.5 %). A brief cooling episode driven by peripheral flow from western Pacific typhoons and associated rainfall is moderating late-August heat, yet subtropical humidity, light northeasterly winds, and persistent warm advection keep daytime maxima close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, with lighter rain chances on the day itself limiting further cooling. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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