Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a daily minimum near 17°C for Toronto on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 30% shower chance and northwest flow following muggy conditions. This aligns with transitional September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 15.9°C, though recent years have seen variability from 11–23°C. Warm advection and limited overnight radiational cooling under residual humidity support lows in the mid-to-upper teens, with model consensus favoring 17–19°C outcomes. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this range alongside uncertainty from potential forecast shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing, while the elevated weight on 25°C+ highlights perceived upside risk if warmer air lingers. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 3?
15°C or below 89%
25°C or higher 89%
24°C 49%
19°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
89%
16°C
9%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C or higher
89%
15°C or below 89%
25°C or higher 89%
24°C 49%
19°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
89%
16°C
$229 ปริมาณ
9%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
49%
25°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a daily minimum near 17°C for Toronto on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 30% shower chance and northwest flow following muggy conditions. This aligns with transitional September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 15.9°C, though recent years have seen variability from 11–23°C. Warm advection and limited overnight radiational cooling under residual humidity support lows in the mid-to-upper teens, with model consensus favoring 17–19°C outcomes. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this range alongside uncertainty from potential forecast shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing, while the elevated weight on 25°C+ highlights perceived upside risk if warmer air lingers. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$259วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a daily minimum near 17°C for Toronto on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 30% shower chance and northwest flow following muggy conditions. This aligns with transitional September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 15.9°C, though recent years have seen variability from 11–23°C. Warm advection and limited overnight radiational cooling under residual humidity support lows in the mid-to-upper teens, with model consensus favoring 17–19°C outcomes. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this range alongside uncertainty from potential forecast shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing, while the elevated weight on 25°C+ highlights perceived upside risk if warmer air lingers. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$259วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a daily minimum near 17°C for Toronto on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 30% shower chance and northwest flow following muggy conditions. This aligns with transitional September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 15.9°C, though recent years have seen variability from 11–23°C. Warm advection and limited overnight radiational cooling under residual humidity support lows in the mid-to-upper teens, with model consensus favoring 17–19°C outcomes. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this range alongside uncertainty from potential forecast shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing, while the elevated weight on 25°C+ highlights perceived upside risk if warmer air lingers. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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