Forecast models indicate cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on September 2, driven by persistent easterly flow and elevated moisture, which limit solar heating and compress the diurnal temperature range. This setup favors a daily maximum near 28–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and precipitable water values that suppress afternoon peaks relative to clearer conditions seen earlier in the week. Historical September climatology in the region places average highs around 29 °C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or ensemble forecasts expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
29°C 38%
30°C 37%
28°C 16%
31°C 8%
ใหม่
$42,969 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$42,969 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
38%
30°C
37%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 37%
28°C 16%
31°C 8%
ใหม่
$42,969 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$42,969 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
$4,932 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$3,635 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,037 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$6,326 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$8,386 ปริมาณ
38%
30°C
$7,473 ปริมาณ
37%
31°C
$6,768 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C
$1,454 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$1,328 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$378 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$432 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on September 2, driven by persistent easterly flow and elevated moisture, which limit solar heating and compress the diurnal temperature range. This setup favors a daily maximum near 28–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and precipitable water values that suppress afternoon peaks relative to clearer conditions seen earlier in the week. Historical September climatology in the region places average highs around 29 °C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or ensemble forecasts expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,969วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on September 2, driven by persistent easterly flow and elevated moisture, which limit solar heating and compress the diurnal temperature range. This setup favors a daily maximum near 28–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and precipitable water values that suppress afternoon peaks relative to clearer conditions seen earlier in the week. Historical September climatology in the region places average highs around 29 °C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or ensemble forecasts expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,969วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on September 2, driven by persistent easterly flow and elevated moisture, which limit solar heating and compress the diurnal temperature range. This setup favors a daily maximum near 28–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and precipitable water values that suppress afternoon peaks relative to clearer conditions seen earlier in the week. Historical September climatology in the region places average highs around 29 °C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration or ensemble forecasts expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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