Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 3 indicate a high near 28–31°C, with widespread cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating below the 32–33°C seasonal average. Persistent overcast conditions reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation further caps daytime maxima, creating tight clustering around 29–31°C in trader pricing. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows modest variability tied to exact rainfall timing and wind shifts, though historical September patterns favor occasional breaks that could allow brief spikes near 32°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
30°C 27%
31°C 20%
29°C 17%
28°C 16%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
9%
28°C
10%
29°C
17%
30°C
27%
31°C
20%
32°C
12%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 27%
31°C 20%
29°C 17%
28°C 16%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
9%
28°C
10%
29°C
17%
30°C
27%
31°C
20%
32°C
12%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 3 indicate a high near 28–31°C, with widespread cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating below the 32–33°C seasonal average. Persistent overcast conditions reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation further caps daytime maxima, creating tight clustering around 29–31°C in trader pricing. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows modest variability tied to exact rainfall timing and wind shifts, though historical September patterns favor occasional breaks that could allow brief spikes near 32°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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