Latest numerical weather model runs for Guangzhou on September 2 point to a high near 30–31°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest moisture from lingering monsoon influences that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread across global and regional models. Historical September averages near 32–33°C provide context, but recent late-August patterns with scattered showers have shown similar moderation. Key variables differentiating adjacent outcomes include exact timing of any brief convective activity and boundary-layer humidity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C; updated short-range guidance later today will likely refine this further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
30°C 22%
29°C 20%
31°C 14%
28°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
22%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 22%
29°C 20%
31°C 14%
28°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
$319 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$171 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$22 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$271 ปริมาณ
12%
29°C
$302 ปริมาณ
22%
30°C
$367 ปริมาณ
22%
31°C
$1,243 ปริมาณ
14%
32°C
$664 ปริมาณ
9%
33°C
$425 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$965 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$114 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model runs for Guangzhou on September 2 point to a high near 30–31°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest moisture from lingering monsoon influences that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread across global and regional models. Historical September averages near 32–33°C provide context, but recent late-August patterns with scattered showers have shown similar moderation. Key variables differentiating adjacent outcomes include exact timing of any brief convective activity and boundary-layer humidity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C; updated short-range guidance later today will likely refine this further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,865วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model runs for Guangzhou on September 2 point to a high near 30–31°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest moisture from lingering monsoon influences that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread across global and regional models. Historical September averages near 32–33°C provide context, but recent late-August patterns with scattered showers have shown similar moderation. Key variables differentiating adjacent outcomes include exact timing of any brief convective activity and boundary-layer humidity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C; updated short-range guidance later today will likely refine this further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,865วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather model runs for Guangzhou on September 2 point to a high near 30–31°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest moisture from lingering monsoon influences that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread across global and regional models. Historical September averages near 32–33°C provide context, but recent late-August patterns with scattered showers have shown similar moderation. Key variables differentiating adjacent outcomes include exact timing of any brief convective activity and boundary-layer humidity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C; updated short-range guidance later today will likely refine this further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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